Monday, July 13, 2015

Authors Guild Calls for DOJ Investigation of Amazon: a New One

Just when I thought the waters over at AG might be warming a degree, I receive this latest email from AG, calling for a huge Amazon bashing by the DOJ. It is republished below in its entirety:



 

The recent decision in United States v. Apple raises the spectre once again of Amazon’s excessive power in the publishing landscape. The federal appellate court in the case agreed with the lower court that Apple had indeed violated antitrust law by cooperating with publishers to establish agency pricing for e-books (which allows publishers to set their own prices and pay the retailer a commission). The irony of this decision is that Apple’s actions actually helped to open the e-book market and to reduce Amazon’s monopoly from a 90% market share in 2009 to around 67% today.


Without commenting on the outcome of the Apple case, or the facts that led the majority to its conclusion, we’d like to point out the long-term dangers of interpreting antitrust law solely to favor low book prices over a thriving, competitive and robust literary marketplace. The majority’s opinion takes a narrow view of antitrust law, assuming that low book prices to consumers trump all, even if the low prices are artificial loss leaders intended to lure buyers into a single company’s shopping platform. The much larger issue in our view is the dominance that Amazon—through its artificially depressed book prices—wields over the book ecosystem, and the potential repercussions on the free flow of information and free expression.


Despite the decision against Apple, Amazon’s tactics seemed troubling to the court. All three opinions, the majority, concurrence and a dissent, referred to the fact Amazon controlled 90% of the e-book market in 2009, and two of the three judges expressed clear concerns regarding Amazon’s anticompetitive behavior.


Judge Dennis Jacobs, in dissent, characterized Amazon’s behavior as so extreme that Apple had little alternative other than to enter the market on the terms that it did in order to create needed competition. Judge Raymond Lohier, concurring in the majority, found some “appeal to Apple’s argument that the e-book market, in light of Amazon’s virtually uncontested dominance, needed more competition.” Judge Lohier, however, felt that “more corporate bullying is not an appropriate antidote to corporate bullying.”


What, then, is the appropriate antidote?


We once again request the Department of Justice to investigate Amazon for its anti-competitive behavior, a far more dangerous variant that Apple’s.


Here is a letter to the Department of Justice, written by Douglas Preston and Barry Lynn in cooperation with the Authors Guild. Preston is a Council Member of the Authors Guild, which from the beginning has been a partner in this initiative. Last summer he spearheaded a grassroots protest against Amazon’s punishment of authors during its dispute with the publisher Hachette. Under the rubric “Authors United,” he gathered over 900 authors’ signatures and took out a two-page advertisement in The New York Times, in a public challenge to Amazon’s actions.


This letter addresses the larger issue of Amazon’s control of the book market and requests an investigation of the company by the Department Of Justice. The Authors Guild supports Preston’s actions and endorses his request, as do the American Booksellers Association and the Association of Authors’ Representatives.


Roxana Robinson
President
The Authors Guild

Thursday, July 9, 2015

Half of Net Proceeds New Standard for Trad Pub EBook Royalties

From Authors' Guild 7/9/15:


We announced our Fair Contract Initiative earlier this summer. Now our first detailed analysis tackles today’s inadequate e-book royalties. At the heart of our concern with the unfair industry-standard e-book royalty rate is its failure to treat authors as full partners in the publishing enterprise. This will be a resounding theme in our initiative; it’s what’s wrong with many of the one-sided “standard” clauses we’ll be examining in future installments.


Traditionally, the author-publisher partnership was an equal one. Authors earned around 50% of their books’ profits. That equal split is reflected in the traditional hardcover royalty of 15% of list (cover price, that is, not the much lower wholesale price), and in the 50-50 split of publishers’ earnings from selling paperback, book club, or reprint rights. Authors generally received an even larger share than the publisher for non-print rights (such as stage and screen rights) and foreign rights.


But today’s standard contracts give authors just 25% of the publisher’s “net receipts” (more or less what the publisher collects from a book sale) for e-book royalties. That doesn’t look like a partnership to us.


We maintain that a 50-50 split in e-book profits is fair because the traditional author-publisher relationship is essentially a joint venture. The author writes the book, and by any fair measure the author’s efforts represent most of the labor invested and most of the resulting value. The publisher, like a venture capitalist, invests in the author’s work by paying an advance so the author can make ends meet while the book gets finished. Generally, the publisher also provides editing, marketing, packaging, and distribution services. In return for fronting the financial risk and providing these services, the publisher gets to share in the book’s profits. Not a bad deal. This worked well enough throughout much of the twentieth century: publishers prospered and authors had a decent shot at earning a living.


How the e-book rate evolved


From the mid-1990s, when e-book provisions regularly began appearing in contracts, until around 2004, e-royalties varied wildly. Many of the e-rates at major publishing houses were shockingly low—less than 10% of net receipts—and some were at 50%. Some standard contracts left them open to negotiation. As the years passed, and especially between 2000 and 2004, many publishers paid authors 50% of their net receipts from e-book sales, in keeping with the idea that authors and publishers were equal partners in the book business.


In 2004, we saw a hint of things to come. Random House, which had previously paid 50% of its revenues for e-book sales, anticipated the coming boom in e-book sales and cut its e-rates significantly. Other publishers followed, and gradually e-royalties began to coalesce around 25%. By 2010 it was clear that publishers had successfully tipped the scales on the longstanding partnership between author and publisher to achieve a 75-25 balance in their favor.


The lowball e-royalty was inequitable, but initially it didn’t have much effect on authors’ bottom lines. As late as 2009, e-books accounted for a paltry 3–5% of book sales. Authors and agents ought to have pushed back, but with e-book sales so low it didn’t make much sense to risk the chance of any individual book deal falling apart over e-royalties. We called the 25% rate a “low-water mark.” We said, “Once the digital market gets large enough, authors with strong sales records won’t put up with this: they’ll go where they’ll once again be paid as full partners in the exploitation of their creative work.”


E-books now represent 25–30% of all adult trade book sales, but for the vast majority of authors the rate remains unchanged. If anything, publishers have dug in their heels. Why? There’s a contractual roadblock, for one: major book publishers have agreed to include “most favored nation” clauses in thousands of existing contracts. These clauses require automatic adjustment or renegotiation of e-book royalties if the publisher changes its standard royalty rate, giving publishers a strong incentive to maintain the status quo. And the increasing consolidation of the book industry has drastically reduced competition among publishers, allowing them more than ever to hand authors “take it or leave it” deals in the expectation that the author won’t find a better offer.


The elephant in the room


And then there’s the elephant in the room: Amazon, which has used its e-book dominance to demand steep discounts from publishers and drive down the price of frontlist e-books, even selling them at a loss. As a result, there’s simply not as much e-book revenue to split as there was in 2011when we reported on the e-book royalty math. At that time, publishers made a killing on frontlist e-book sales as compared to frontlist hardcover sales—at the author’s expense—because, as compared to today, the price of e-books was relatively high.


When we analyzed e-royalties for three books in the 2011 post, “E-Book Royalty Math: The House Always Wins,” we found that every time an e-book was sold in place of a hardcover, the author’s take decreased substantially, while the publisher’s take increased.


Since 2011, we have found that publishers’ e-gains have diminished. But the author’s share has fallen even farther. Amazon has squeezed the publishers, to be sure. The publishers have helped recoup their losses by passing them on to their authors.


These were our calculations for several books in 2011. The trend was obvious. Compared with hardcovers, each e-book sold brought big gains to the publisher and sizable losses to the author when the author’s royalties are compared to the publisher’s gross profit (income per copy minus expenses per copy), calculated using industry-standard contract terms:


Author’s Royalty vs. Publisher’s Profit, 2011


The Help, by Kathryn Stockett


Author’s Standard Royalty: $3.75 hardcover; $2.28 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss = -39%


Publisher’s Margin: $4.75 hardcover; $6.32 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain = +33%


Hell’s Corner, by David Baldacci


Author’s Standard Royalty: $4.20 hardcover; $2.63 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss = -37%


Publisher’s Margin: $5.80 hardcover; $7.37 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain = +27%


Unbroken, by Laura Hillenbrand


Author’s Standard Royalty: $4.05 hardcover; $3.38 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss = -17%


Publisher’s Margin: $5.45 hardcover; $9.62 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain = +77%


What’s happening now? We ran the numbers again using the following recent bestsellers. Because of lower e-book prices, the publishers don’t do as well as they used to, though they still come out ahead when consumers choose e-books over hardcovers. But authors fare worse than ever:


Author’s Royalty vs. Publisher’s Profit, 2015


All the Light We Cannot See, by Anthony Doer


Author’s Standard Royalty: $4.04 hardcover; $2.09 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss= -48%


Publisher’s Margin: $5.44 hardcover; $5.80 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain: +7%


Being Mortal, by Atul Gawande


Author’s Standard Royalty: $3.90 hardcover; $1.92 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss= -51%


Publisher’s Margin: $5.10 hardcover; $5.27 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain: +3.5%


A Spool of Blue Thread, by Anne Tyler


Author’s Standard Royalty: $3.89; $1.92 e-book.


Author’s E-Loss: -51%


Publisher’s Margin: $5.09 hardcover; $5.27 e-book.


Publisher’s E-Gain: +3.5%[1]


Exceptions to the rule


It’s time for a change. If the publishers won’t correct this imbalance on their own, it will take a critical mass of authors and agents willing to fight for a fair 50% e-book royalty. We hope that established authors and, particularly, bestselling authors will start to push back and stand up to publishers on the royalty rate—on behalf of all authors, as well as themselves.


There have been cracks in some publishers’ façades. Some bestselling authors have managed to obtain a 50% e-book split, though they’re asked to sign non-disclosure agreements to keep these terms secret. We’ve also heard of authors with strong sales histories negotiating 50-50 royalty splits in exchange for foregoing an advance or getting a lower advance; or where the 50% rate kicks in only after a certain threshold level of sales. For instance, a major romance publishing house has offered 50% royalties, but only after the first 10,000 electronic copies—a high bar to clear in the current digital climate. But overall, publishers’ apparent inflexibility on their standard e-book royalty demonstrates their unwillingness to change it.


We know and respect the fact that publishers—especially in this era of media consolidation—need to meet their bottom lines. But if professional authors are going to continue to produce the sort of work publishing houses are willing to stake their reputations on, those authors need a fair share of the profits from their art and labor. In a time when electronic books provide an increasing share of revenues at significantly lower production and distribution costs, publishers’ e-book royalty practices need to change.


[1] In calculating these numbers and percentages for hardcover editions, we made the following assumptions: (1) the publisher sells at an average 50% discount to the wholesaler or retailer, (2) the royalty rate is 15% of list price (as it is for most hardcover books, after 10,000 units are sold), (3) the average marginal cost to manufacture the book and get it to the store is $3, and (4) the return rate is 25% (a handy number—if one of four books produced is returned, then the $3 marginal cost of producing the book is spread over three other books, giving us a return cost of $1 per book). We also rounded up retail list price a few pennies to give us easy figures to work with.


Likewise, in calculating these numbers and percentages for the 2015 set of e-books, we are assuming that under the agency model—which is reportedly the new standard in the Big Five’s agreements with Amazon—the online bookseller pays 70% of the retail list price of the e-book to the publisher. The bookseller, acting as the publisher’s agent, sells the e-book at the price established by the publisher. The unit costs to the publisher are simply the author’s royalty and the encryption and transmission fees, for which we deduct a generous 50 cents per unit.

Sunday, July 5, 2015

I Like Sci-Fi, I Like Dystopia, I Like the Idea of Law in the Future

Vortice is the name of a novel I'm writing in fits and starts. The book is set in 2055 and takes a hard look at where law will be when machines can access the quantum information inside a person's microtubules where consciousness is--it is thought by some--stored.

It is the story of a young woman whose mental images have been read and who is found to be guilty of a murder.

Except...she didn't commit it.

Her grandfather, Thaddeus Murfee, has a role.

What do you think?

Whew, Christine II is Finished!

Today is July 4 and I spent the day finishing the first draft of Hellfire: I, Lawyer, a Sisters In Law series novel. It's a terrific book with a fuse burning down at the end and my fingers were flying as I wrote it, excited to see what came next. Hopefully lots of people will read it and like it and word will spread about what a fun six or seven hours of reading Hellfire is.

Should be published by mid-July.

Sunday, June 14, 2015

Thaddeus Murfee Book 9 is Underway!

Thaddeus Murfee update: The new Thaddeus Murfee thriller us being plotted and character development begun. Working title is "A Small Death in Orbit" and takes Thaddeus back to Orbit, where it all began five years ago. He is called upon to defend an old friend and much more, including his agreement to run for public office. Will he actually run? Get elected? We'll find out in the next couple of months.

This Thaddeus Murfee book will get back to basics: crime > court > outcome. Thaddeus has personally asked me for that kind of approach and I have wholeheartedly agreed.

Welcome back, Thaddeus.

Now to watch.

Friday, June 5, 2015

New Path Maybe Taken

I have written nine novels in 14 or 15 months that now keep the bills paid. So far, so good. But for many years I have wanted to write a series of about four novels, financial/family in nature, that each would take about two years to research and write. At the end of that time I would probably give up writing and take up kite surfing (I would be 81). I would be very proud of these four novels, much prouder than I am of the ones written so far. Maybe "pleased with" is a better way of putting it. They would please me more than the ones to date have pleased me. I love my novels written thus far, but I know I can do much better, tell much wider stories with more power than what I've done. Now if I can just figure out how to stop publishing for two years while I write the first one. Will my little publishing shop go under while I don't feed the Amazon algos for two years? Or is there enough to keep things going? I really don't know. But I'm leaning toward trying.

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Mexico: Gracias Por Su Bienvenida!

Yes, thank you for the welcome you've given one more gringo who has come down south to enjoy your sand, sea, and sunshine. Thank you for the incredible food and willing help when my host's car broke down and you appeared along the roadside to stop and lend us assistance, giving us a ride into town when the Norteamericanos sped past us without a second look.


The lobster here is indescribably delicious. I was able to take five of us out for lobster dinners in a quaint little fishing village south of Tijuana for a mere $85.00 dlls. Freshly caught, freshly cooked, with chips and salsa and side dishes and dessert. I can't eat like this every day, but it's a good start to a long stay.


I found a home on the ocean. It looks like something out of the movies, furnished, with surf and breakers just outside the front door. It's huge, so my dogs have plenty of room to roam and so I can find a quiet place or two where I can sit down and type out my stories for an hour or two each day. Downstairs is a separate apartment where my sister will live and do her thing with her own kitchen, patio, and room for her life and animals. Coming upstairs is a huge living room to your left, furnished with three couches and fireplace, and straight back is the kitchen that is one of four walls surrounding an interior atrium where all manner of plants and flowers and succulents are growing--enough to keep Deb happy with her green thumb notions. Then there's a room where Deb can set up her sewing machine and create her art quilts. So she's got her space. Off to the right is an upstairs patio with a huge table beneath a thatched roof and that looks straight down at the ocean. Here's hoping the dogs don't try out the three foot high balustrade and go sailing off into the waters of the Pacific.

Two car garage, room for beach stuff for the kids, enough bedrooms that family and friends can come and stay for a few days or even weeks if they want.


All of it made possible by you, the readers I love and to whom I owe everything.


Thank you one and all.